Corinthians vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
AVA
1 - 1
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
COR
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
COR
2 - 0
JUV
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
COR
0 - 0
CRI
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 2
COR
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
ARN
3 - 1
GRÊ
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ARN
1 - 1
SAO
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARN
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
ARN
2 - 0
GAM
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
CRB
1 - 1
ARN
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |