FA Cup 1/512
Global 4-1
Corinthian-Casuals vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthian-Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WOR
1 - 0
COR
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
COR
3 - 0
LEA
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEA
0 - 0
COR
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
COR
4 - 0
CRA
24%
24%
51%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 1
COR
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
CRA
3 - 5
WIN
66%
18%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BOG
2 - 2
WIN
68%
18%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
3 - 0
BAL
70%
17%
14%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
3 - 1
KIN
14%
19%
66%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +6 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BOW
3 - 1
WIN
66%
18%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |