Coria CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
VVA
3 - 0
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
COR
4 - 0
SCF
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ANT
2 - 1
COR
31%
27%
43%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
COR
1 - 1
DHE
39%
28%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SFE
1 - 2
COR
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
LUC
3 - 1
CRD
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 0
LUC
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LUC
4 - 3
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
JER
1 - 1
LUC
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
LUC
2 - 3
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |