Corgo vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
OUR
3 - 0
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COR
4 - 2
RSI
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SRO
1 - 0
COR
45%
23%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
COR
1 - 2
MIL
15%
19%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BEC
6 - 1
COR
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 2
FER
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
SLU
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 4
GUN
28%
24%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 1
OUR
33%
23%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RSI
0 - 3
SLU
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |