Corgo vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 6
COR
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
ANT
38%
24%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 2
COR
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
COR
0 - 1
SDO
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PAL
4 - 1
COR
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SLU
0 - 1
PAR
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ANT
2 - 1
SLU
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SLU
1 - 0
MIL
40%
24%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SDO
3 - 0
SLU
30%
23%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SLU
2 - 0
PAL
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |