Corgo vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
COM
4 - 1
COR
55%
21%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
RUB
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SLA
1 - 0
COR
50%
23%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COR
3 - 2
SOB
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SLU
0 - 1
FER
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
SLU
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MON
4 - 3
SLU
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SLU
5 - 1
RSI
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SLU
0 - 0
LAJ
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |