Corgo vs Castroverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
4 - 0
COR
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
COR
2 - 2
PAL
36%
22%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 2
COR
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
GUN
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SRO
4 - 2
COR
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
FRI
24%
22%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COM
2 - 1
CAS
37%
22%
41%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
RUB
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SLA
2 - 1
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 4
SOB
45%
23%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |