North Korea vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
64.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 1
PRK
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
PRK
1 - 0
TJK
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
IND
2 - 5
PRK
18%
21%
61%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
SYR
5 - 2
PRK
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
UZB
4 - 0
PRK
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
KOR
8 - 0
LKA
82%
15%
4%
|
88 | 29 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TKM
0 - 2
KOR
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
KOR
2 - 2
GEO
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 1
IRN
47%
27%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
49%
25%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |