North Korea vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
IRN
4 - 1
PRK
75%
15%
9%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
PRK
1 - 0
THA
64%
19%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1990 |
KSA
3 - 4
PRK
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
IRN
2 - 1
PRK
77%
14%
8%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
PRK
0 - 0
MAS
68%
19%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
THA
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
KOR
0 - 1
IRN
60%
25%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
KWT
64%
24%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
2 - 0
CHN
63%
24%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1990 |
PAK
0 - 7
KOR
4%
14%
83%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |