WC Qual. Asia First Round Final
Global 9-2
North Korea vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MNG
1 - 4
PRK
13%
18%
69%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
PRK
1 - 1
KSA
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
NPL
1 - 0
PRK
21%
22%
58%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2007 |
OMA
4 - 3
PRK
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
1 - 0
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MNG
1 - 4
PRK
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
MNG
5 - 2
GUM
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
7 - 0
MNG
92%
7%
1%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 0
MNG
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
TWN
0 - 0
MNG
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |