North Korea vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 2
OMA
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
BHR
2 - 3
PRK
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
KOR
3 - 0
PRK
69%
21%
11%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CHN
2 - 0
PRK
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
KOR
0 - 0
PRK
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2005 |
THA
1 - 1
LVA
59%
20%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
BLR
3 - 1
LVA
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
POR
3 - 0
LVA
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 96 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
LVA
2 - 2
JPN
17%
25%
57%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
LVA
1 - 1
SVK
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |