North Korea vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
KGZ
1 - 0
PRK
21%
22%
57%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
UAE
1 - 1
PRK
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
PRK
2 - 2
QAT
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
UZB
1 - 0
PRK
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
JOR
2 - 1
PRK
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
IRN
4 - 1
QAT
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
UZB
0 - 0
IRN
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
UAE
0 - 1
IRN
23%
25%
52%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
IRN
1 - 0
KGZ
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
IRN
0 - 0
UZB
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |