North Korea vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 1
PRK
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
PRK
1 - 0
TJK
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
IND
2 - 5
PRK
18%
21%
61%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
SYR
5 - 2
PRK
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
UZB
4 - 0
PRK
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
LBN
4 - 1
PRK
33%
26%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LBN
0 - 2
KSA
20%
24%
57%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
QAT
2 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
BHR
1 - 0
LBN
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
AUS
3 - 0
LBN
76%
17%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |