North Korea vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
IND
1 - 1
PRK
6%
17%
76%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
PRK
2 - 0
IND
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
SWE
4 - 0
PRK
77%
16%
6%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
QAT
2 - 2
PRK
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
SWE
1 - 1
PRK
78%
16%
6%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
LBN
1 - 0
SYR
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
LBN
0 - 0
BHR
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2002 |
LBN
4 - 2
YEM
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
SYR
4 - 1
LBN
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
KSA
1 - 0
LBN
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |