Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-3
Córdoba CF vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Córdoba CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
UPL
1 - 1
CCF
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
CCF
4 - 0
LEV
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
SEV
1 - 1
CCF
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
CCF
0 - 2
FCB
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ZAR
4 - 2
CCF
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1964 |
UPL
1 - 1
CCF
29%
23%
48%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
UPL
2 - 0
SLA
65%
19%
17%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
CON
1 - 0
UPL
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
UPL
1 - 0
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
SPO
3 - 1
UPL
77%
15%
9%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |