4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 4-3
AE Corcó vs Rupit Pruit A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.6%
14.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Corcó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
RPR
0 - 1
COR
38%
21%
41%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
COR
4 - 2
SAN
88%
7%
4%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
RPR
0 - 1
COR
41%
21%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
COR
3 - 1
BOR
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VIN
1 - 3
COR
38%
22%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rupit Pruit A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
RPR
0 - 1
COR
38%
21%
41%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
OLO
0 - 0
RPR
25%
21%
55%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
RPR
4 - 3
GLE
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
RPR
0 - 1
COR
41%
21%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
RPR
0 - 1
RIB
53%
20%
27%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |