Corbins A vs Alfarras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corbins A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
COR
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
AFL
44%
23%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAS
1 - 2
COR
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BJC
1 - 3
COR
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COR
3 - 4
BEN
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alfarras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 1
BEN
74%
15%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 6
ALF
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALF
8 - 2
ALF
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 7
ALF
14%
19%
67%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
ALF
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |