Corbetta vs Villanterio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
70.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+298%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corbetta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
COR
0 - 4
ACC
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 2
COR
54%
22%
24%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
CES
18%
21%
62%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 0
COR
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
COR
0 - 2
ASS
18%
21%
62%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Villanterio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
ACC
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BOR
3 - 1
VIL
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
LOM
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 1
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 2
SET
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |