Corbetta vs Garlasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+263%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corbetta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SET
2 - 1
COR
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
COR
3 - 1
BOR
32%
24%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
COR
2 - 1
BAR
36%
23%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ASS
1 - 1
COR
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SIZ
0 - 3
COR
56%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Garlasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GAR
2 - 2
ACC
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
FER
0 - 1
GAR
46%
23%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 3
GAR
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
GAR
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GAR
2 - 2
LOM
33%
24%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |