Corbetta vs Ferrera Erbognone analysis


14	ELO	33
0.6%	Tilt	-0.3%
26530º	General ELO ranking	26523º
825º	Country ELO ranking	818º
ELO win probability

12.6%

Corbetta

18.5%

Draw

68.9%

Ferrera Erbognone

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

12.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%

18.5%

Draw

0-0

4.8%

1-1

8.8%

2-2

4%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

18.5%

68.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%