Corbetta vs Assago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+298%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corbetta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 0
COR
83%
11%
5%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
COR
1 - 3
FER
13%
19%
69%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ACC
2 - 1
COR
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Assago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 2
ACC
39%
23%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 0
ASS
50%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 2
LOM
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 0
ASS
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |