Conwy Borough FC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
DEN
1 - 3
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
PEN
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 2
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
FLI
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
PRE
6 - 1
CON
81%
13%
7%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
POR
1 - 5
GUI
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
POR
12%
16%
71%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
CAE
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
RTW
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
BUC
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |