Conwy Borough FC vs Guilsfield FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
DEN
1 - 1
CON
22%
22%
56%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CON
5 - 1
RHY
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 4
CON
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
POR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 2
CON
34%
24%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Guilsfield FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 4
GUI
9%
18%
73%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 0
CAE
45%
23%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 0
POR
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
3 - 0
HOL
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
RHA
0 - 1
GUI
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |