Conwy Borough FC vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
CAE
0 - 2
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CON
0 - 0
LID
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
BAN
1 - 3
CON
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
NEW
2 - 1
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
LLA
1 - 4
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
CON
2 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
CEF
0 - 2
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CON
1 - 2
CWM
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 1999 |
CON
3 - 2
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
CON
1 - 0
CWM
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |