Conwy Borough FC vs Chirk AAA analysis

Conwy Borough FC Chirk AAA
30 ELO 34
5.6% Tilt 11%
21972º General ELO ranking 29353º
119º Country ELO ranking 129º
ELO win probability
42.3%
Conwy Borough FC
21.7%
Draw
36%
Chirk AAA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
Conwy Borough FC
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
36%
Win probability
Chirk AAA
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Conwy Borough FC
Their league position
Chirk AAA
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
11º
16º
14º
26
12º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Colwyn Bay
82
85
100%
Holywell
77
77
100%
Llandudno FC
65
65
100%
Guilsfield FC
54
57
100%
Ruthin Town
48
51
100%
Prestatyn Town
43
46
50%
Cefn Druids AFC
43
43
50%
Buckley Town
42
42
100%
Gresford Athletic
10º
32
35
0%
Mold Alexandra
35
35
10º
0%
Porthmadog
11º
30
31
11º
49%
Llanidloes Town FC
12º
27
28
12º
63.5%
Chirk AAA
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Conwy Borough FC
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Holyhead Hotspur
15º
16
16
15º
68%
Penrhyncoch FC
16º
16
16
16º
68%
Expected probabilities
Conwy Borough FC
Chirk AAA
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Conwy Borough FC
Chirk AAA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Conwy Borough FC
Conwy Borough FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
CON
Conwy Borough FC
0 - 3
Penybont
PEN
6%
14%
80%
30 64 34 0
05 Nov. 2022
MOL
Mold Alexandra
5 - 2
Conwy Borough FC
CON
48%
21%
31%
31 29 2 -1
29 Oct. 2022
CON
Conwy Borough FC
0 - 2
Porthmadog
POR
41%
22%
37%
33 36 3 -2
22 Oct. 2022
PEN
Penrhyncoch FC
2 - 5
Conwy Borough FC
CON
36%
24%
40%
31 30 1 +2
08 Oct. 2022
FEL
Felinheli
1 - 4
Conwy Borough FC
CON
7%
12%
81%
31 9 22 0

Matches

Chirk AAA
Chirk AAA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2022
AAA
Chirk AAA
0 - 2
Holywell
HOL
14%
20%
67%
35 50 15 0
28 Oct. 2022
LLA
Llandudno FC
3 - 1
Chirk AAA
AAA
74%
16%
9%
36 49 13 -1
22 Oct. 2022
AAA
Chirk AAA
0 - 0
Holyhead Hotspur
HOL
49%
22%
30%
36 36 0 0
08 Oct. 2022
AAA
Chirk AAA
1 - 1
The New Saints
TNS
4%
9%
87%
35 69 34 +1
30 Sep. 2022
RTW
Ruthin Town
3 - 2
Chirk AAA
AAA
68%
18%
14%
36 43 7 -1