Conwy Borough FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CON
3 - 2
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
HOL
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BUC
5 - 0
CON
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -4 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
PRE
1 - 1
CON
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 1
HOL
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
6 - 0
CEF
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BUC
3 - 3
CEF
26%
23%
51%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
CEF
2 - 1
PRE
48%
22%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CEF
1 - 0
RHY
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +4 |