Conwy Borough FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
FLI
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
CON
3 - 2
POR
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 2
CON
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
LLA
85%
10%
5%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
PEN
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 1
CEF
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 5
BAL
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAE
69%
17%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
RHY
0 - 5
CEF
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CEF
6 - 0
FLI
76%
14%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |