Conwy Borough FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 3
CON
21%
21%
58%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
CON
3 - 0
LLA
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CON
4 - 3
BUC
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
RHA
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
RHY
1 - 0
CON
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CEF
1 - 4
RHY
32%
23%
45%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 0
CEF
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 3
CEF
14%
19%
68%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CEF
3 - 0
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
RHY
0 - 6
CEF
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |