Conwy Borough FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
CWM
3 - 1
CON
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
BAR
4 - 1
CON
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
CON
4 - 2
ABE
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
CON
0 - 2
CAR
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
LLA
3 - 2
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
CEF
2 - 1
NEW
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
RHA
3 - 1
CEF
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
CWM
2 - 1
CEF
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
CEF
1 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
BAR
7 - 0
CEF
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |