Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
63.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CON
0 - 2
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BRI
1 - 0
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
NEW
2 - 3
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CON
2 - 1
LLA
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
HAV
1 - 3
TNS
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 0
TNS
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 6
TNS
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CAM
0 - 5
TNS
11%
16%
73%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |