Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
41.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
BAL
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
CON
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
44%
23%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 5
TNS
36%
25%
38%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
TNS
4 - 1
BAL
63%
19%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
TNS
7 - 1
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 6
TNS
41%
23%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |