Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CON
3 - 3
NAN
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
WIN
86%
11%
3%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CON
3 - 0
HAV
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
TNS
0 - 0
VIK
33%
23%
45%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
VIK
2 - 0
TNS
68%
17%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 0
TNS
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
TNS
1 - 0
LIN
52%
22%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 0
TNS
47%
24%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |