Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 3
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TNS
3 - 0
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
RHY
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 4
TNS
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 3
TNS
24%
22%
54%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 2
TNS
39%
25%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TNS
3 - 0
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
TNS
33%
23%
44%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |