Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
42.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
AIR
3 - 2
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
AIR
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 2
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CON
5 - 0
POR
51%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 3
CON
21%
22%
56%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
NEW
2 - 2
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
TNS
1 - 1
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
TNS
1 - 1
ABE
68%
18%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 0
ABE
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |