Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
55.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
RHY
4 - 1
CON
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
CON
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LLA
0 - 6
TNS
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
TNS
1 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
TNS
4 - 0
WEL
80%
13%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
PRE
0 - 1
TNS
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
TNS
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |