Connah's Quay vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
CON
3 - 3
CAE
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CON
4 - 0
COL
68%
19%
12%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PON
0 - 5
CON
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
CON
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
TAF
2 - 0
ABE
68%
17%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TAF
0 - 1
LLA
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YAF
4 - 3
TAF
11%
14%
75%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TAF
2 - 1
LID
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUC
4 - 1
TAF
7%
11%
82%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | -3 |