Connah's Quay vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
BAL
2 - 2
CON
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 2
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
TNS
32%
23%
45%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
CON
4 - 0
CAE
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
SAR
1 - 0
SLO
79%
14%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
MLA
2 - 2
SAR
13%
22%
66%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
KRU
0 - 2
SAR
17%
24%
60%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
SAR
1 - 1
SLO
91%
8%
2%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SAR
2 - 1
MLA
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |