Connah's Quay vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ABE
4 - 2
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
BAR
69%
21%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
CON
4 - 0
NEW
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
CAE
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
RHY
4 - 5
POR
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
POR
7 - 0
LLA
90%
7%
3%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 1
POR
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
POR
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |