Connah's Quay vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
FLI
1 - 2
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
WEL
2 - 3
CON
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 3
CON
54%
22%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
CON
4 - 1
BUC
78%
14%
7%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
POR
4 - 0
RHY
85%
11%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LLA
5 - 0
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
RHY
1 - 0
POR
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
GUI
0 - 2
POR
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |