Connah's Quay vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
CON
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
CON
0 - 7
BAN
29%
25%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CON
0 - 2
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
CON
1 - 2
RHY
25%
23%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CAE
3 - 4
CON
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
LLA
0 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
POR
1 - 2
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
BAN
2 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
CAE
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
POR
5 - 2
CAE
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |