Connah's Quay vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CWM
0 - 1
CON
47%
24%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
RHY
2 - 0
CON
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CON
1 - 3
WEL
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
RHY
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
POR
4 - 0
CAE
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 1
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
BAN
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
TNS
1 - 2
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |