Connah's Quay vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
BAN
0 - 2
CON
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
CON
2 - 0
WEL
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LLA
2 - 0
CON
72%
17%
12%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
CON
2 - 1
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
POR
3 - 0
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
POR
1 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
POR
1 - 4
HAV
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
RHY
3 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |