Connah's Quay vs Pontypridd United analysis

Connah's Quay Pontypridd United
69 ELO 55
6.9% Tilt -2.7%
2185º General ELO ranking 3612º
13º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
72.8%
Connah's Quay
17.8%
Draw
9.4%
Pontypridd United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
Connah's Quay
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.4%
Win probability
Pontypridd United
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Connah's Quay
-3%
-26%
Pontypridd United

Points and table prediction

Connah's Quay
Their league position
Pontypridd United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
11º
13
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
The New Saints
62
82
100%
Connah's Quay
47
59
89.5%
Bala Town
37
49
33%
Penybont
28
48
34%
Newtown
33
47
25.5%
Cardiff MU
34
46
22%
Caernarfon Town
31
43
21%
Haverfordwest County
28
42
23%
Barry Town
23
34
37%
Pontypridd United
12º
13
33
10º
38.5%
Aberystwyth Town
10º
15
27
11º
48%
Colwyn Bay
11º
14
25
12º
68.5%
Expected probabilities
Connah's Quay
Pontypridd United
Play-offs for the title
100% 3%
Relegation play-offs
0% 97%

ELO progression

Connah's Quay
Pontypridd United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2023
FLI
Flint Town United
0 - 3
Connah's Quay
CON
25%
23%
52%
69 59 10 0
02 Dec. 2023
CON
Connah's Quay
7 - 0
Barry Town
BAR
67%
20%
12%
69 58 11 0
29 Nov. 2023
COL
Colwyn Bay
2 - 3
Connah's Quay
CON
25%
26%
50%
68 56 12 +1
19 Nov. 2023
CON
Connah's Quay
1 - 2
Haverfordwest County
HAV
59%
23%
18%
69 61 8 -1
10 Nov. 2023
CON
Connah's Quay
8 - 0
Prestatyn Town
PRE
83%
12%
4%
68 39 29 +1

Matches

Pontypridd United
Pontypridd United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2023
PON
Pontypridd United
1 - 2
Caernarfon Town
CAE
26%
24%
50%
56 62 6 0
28 Nov. 2023
NEW
Newtown
3 - 1
Pontypridd United
PON
70%
19%
11%
56 68 12 0
19 Nov. 2023
PON
Pontypridd United
0 - 3
Colwyn Bay
COL
54%
23%
23%
58 53 5 -2
04 Nov. 2023
BAL
Bala Town
0 - 0
Pontypridd United
PON
65%
21%
14%
57 66 9 +1
28 Oct. 2023
PON
Pontypridd United
1 - 3
Cardiff MU
CAR
23%
27%
50%
58 69 11 -1