Connah's Quay vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
10º
8º
50
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CON
1 - 2
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 5
CON
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
0 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
HAV
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAE
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 2
PEN
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
5 - 1
ABE
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 0
PEN
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |