Connah's Quay vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
12º
2º
41
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
AIR
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
TNS
39%
25%
37%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 2
HAV
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
FLI
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TNS
1 - 0
PEN
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 0
BAL
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PEN
10 - 0
BRI
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |