Connah's Quay vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 1
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 4
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
CEF
82%
14%
4%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
HOL
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FLI
3 - 1
PEN
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAE
41%
23%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |