Connah's Quay vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 0
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 6
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
POR
6 - 1
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 0
ABE
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
LLA
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 6
TNS
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 6
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |