Connah's Quay vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
POR
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
CON
87%
9%
3%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 4
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
CEF
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
RHY
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 2
PRE
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
LLA
14%
22%
64%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +3 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 1
KUO
47%
23%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
KUO
2 - 1
LLA
54%
22%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NEA
1 - 5
LLA
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |