Connah's Quay vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 2
CON
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CON
3 - 3
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
PRE
1 - 1
CON
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
CON
2 - 3
CEF
61%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
TNS
2 - 1
CON
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2008 |
NEA
0 - 3
LLA
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LLA
2 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
POR
3 - 3
LLA
14%
18%
69%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
POR
4 - 6
LLA
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TBC
0 - 3
LLA
10%
15%
75%
|
69 | 9 | 60 | 0 |