Connah's Quay vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
POR
3 - 3
CON
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
AIR
0 - 0
CON
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
CON
0 - 1
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BAN
3 - 2
CON
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CON
1 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
LLA
1 - 0
AIR
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LLA
5 - 2
RHY
59%
20%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
ABE
1 - 2
LLA
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
POR
2 - 4
LLA
16%
20%
64%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
LLA
4 - 2
HAV
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |